The UK’s 50 Hottest Prospects

Criteria for prospect status & ranking for the purposes of this listing:

  • Less than 10 professional fights. That is 9 or less.
  • Under the Age of 30 – with preference given to younger fighters.
  • Fighter’s ability & proven pedigree – in the amateurs & in early professional bouts – accounts for 65% of their ranking. Fighting ability is given this weighting because a fighter with more ability is more likely to be picked up by a capable promotional vehicle in the future – if they haven’t been already. This can in rare instances be superseded by inherent market worth factors – specifically in the cases of famous ex-fighter’s children whose ability need not necessarily be the reason they were signed – in such cases the ‘ability’ ranking is a composite of actual ability plus a fame/notoriety/name brand premium.
  • Promotional & managerial backing accounts for 25% of their ranking.
  • The remaining 10% of their ranking is derived from any latent (potential) marketing upside they could enjoy but do not currently.
  • This is not a listing of pure boxing ability but a listing of the most potentially lucrative careers from a promotional & business sense moving forward. Another way to understand the listing is Potential Upside Multiplied by Probability of Success Equals Estimated Currently Deciphered Future Worth. 

The lighter weights are very well represented in this listing – Andrew Selby whilst already 27 years old has ability in buckets & is being fast tracked toward world level. Whilst not enjoying the promotional backing of a major promoter yet there will be a bidding war when not if he makes the switch to one of the big boys. The fact that his brother Lee is already signed to Al Haymon & regularly appears on Matchroom PPV events should see a seamless uptick in his promotional backing when the time is right.

Taken as a whole the listing suffers from the long period of time since the last Olympics. That is not to say that several major stars couldn’t emerge from this listing – just that I’d expect the post-Rio list to offer yet more financial potential.

Selby’s rival Charlie Edwards places third and comes with the advantage of relative youth as well as best of kind promotional backing. Of the Top 3 he also stems from the biggest boxing market (Greater London – or near enough) compared to the harder sells of Wales & Birmingham. Critically, because he is still just 23 it is more probable he lands up fighting his prime commercial years one, two or even three weight divisions higher. Do not be shocked if Selby vs. Edwards never happens & they both go on to hold multiple world titles.

Gamal Yafai – who separates the not fighting anytime soon Selby & Edwards in second place – has both substantial ability & the backing of the biggest promoter outside of America. The sky is the limit for this kid & a world title should be viewed as a near inevitability – how successfully that can be spun commercially remains to be seen but he & his brother/s are breaking new ground.

Marcus Morrison (@MarcusSweetMNM)Ohara Davies (@OharaDavies) both would have featured prominently on this list but each miss the less than 10 professional fights stipulation having fought ten and eleven times already respectively. Also note that with the increased focus on the heavyweight division in recent months with the world titles won by Tyson Fury & Anthony Joshua there is an increased premium on the heavyweight division & every heavyweight novice prospect as a result of the trickle down economic nature of boxing has been reviewed within the inflated heavyweight ecosystem leading to heightened prospect status within the rankings.

Note:

  • World Champion is taken to mean holder of a WBC, WBO, IBF or WBA belt OR holder of position 1, 2, 3 or 4 on Boxrec.
  • World level is taken to mean holder of position 5-12 on Boxrec.
  • Fringe World level is taken to mean holder of position 13-25 on Boxrec.
  • European level is taken to mean holder of position 26-50 on Boxrec.
  • Fringe European level is taken to mean holder of position 51-100 on Boxrec.
  • Domestic level is taken to mean holder of position 101-200 on Boxrec.
  • All ‘positions’ are world rankings on Boxrec – not British rankings.

UK Boxing’s 50 Best Prospects

  1. Andrew Selby 27 @andrewselby1 Potential: World Champion. Probability: 90%. Estimated career earnings: £3.25 million. Won Gold at Flyweight at the European Championships in both 2011 & 2013. Won Silver in 2011 & Bronze in 2013 at the World Championships. 2012 London Olympian. Current World Ranking: 82. Promoter: All but one of first 5 bouts Sanigar Events. Google searches in the UK last month: 2,400.Andrew Selby
    Talent 64.00 out of 65
    Promotional/Managerial 19.00 out of 25
    Latent Promotional 9.25 out of 10
    Total Prospect Rating 92.25  out of 100
  2. Gamal Yafai 24 @Gamal_yafai Potential: World Champion. Probability: 85%. Estimated career earnings: £2.75 million. ABA Champion at Flyweight in 2009. Current World Ranking: 51. Promoter: Matchroom. Google searches in the UK last month: 5,400.Gamal Yafai 
    Talent 62.00 out of 65
    Promotional/Managerial 21.00 out of 25
    Latent Promotional 7.50 out of 10
    Total Prospect Rating 90.50 out of 100
  3. Charlie Edwards 23 @CEdwardsBoxing Potential: World Champion. Probability: 84%. Estimated career earnings: £2.25 million. ABA Champion at Light Flyweight in 2011 & at Flyweight in 2014. Current World Ranking: 69. Promoter: Matchroom. Google searches in the UK last month: 1,300.Charlie Edwards
    Talent 62.50 out of 65
    Promotional/Managerial 20.50 out of 25
    Latent Promotional 6.50 out of 10
    Total Prospect Rating 89.50 out of 100
  4. Reece Bellotti 25 @Bomber_Bellotti Potential: World Champion. Probability: 65%. Estimated career earnings: £2.1 million. ABA Champion at Bantamweight in 2012 & at Featherweight in 2013. Current World Ranking: 162. Promoter: Matchroom. Google searches in the UK last month: 140.Reece Bellotti
    Talent 60.50 out of 65
    Promotional/Managerial 19.50 out of 25
    Latent Promotional 7.50 out of 10
    Total Prospect Rating 87.50 out of 100
  5. Anthony Ogogo 27 @AnthonyOgogo Potential: World Champion. Probability: 55%. Needs to fight more often & decide on a single promotional track & just run with it. Estimated career earnings: very difficult to gauge – worst case scenario of £1 million best case scenario of as much as £10 million – time is though now of the essence. ABA Champion at Middleweight in 2010. Won Bronze at 2012 Olympic Games at Middleweight. Current World Ranking: 186. Promoter: Golden Boy/Sauerland. Google searches in the UK last month: 3,600.Anthony Ogogo
    Talent 62.50 out of 65
    Promotional/Managerial 15.50 out of 25
    Latent Promotional 9.00 out of 10
    Total Prospect Rating 87.00 out of 100
  6. Ted Cheeseman 20 @Ted_MRFISHER_ Potential: World Level. Probability: 70%. Estimated career earnings: £1.8 million. Current World Ranking: 268. Promoter: Matchroom. Google searches in the UK last month: 260.Ted Cheeseman
    Talent 59.00 out of 65
    Promotional/Managerial 20.00 out of 25
    Latent Promotional 6.50 out of 10
    Total Prospect Rating 85.50 out of 100
  7. Conor Benn 19 @ConorNigel Potential: Cash Cow. Probability: 90%. Estimated career earnings: £6 million if the forces behind him can find a litany of beatable but believable opponents – the history of ex-fighters sons is littered with under-performing encores so matchmaking with be ultra important to his financial success here. Current World Ranking: 322. Promoter: Matchroom. Google searches in the UK last month: 8,100.
    Talent 41.00 out of 65
    Inherited Fame 15.5 Bonus
    Promotional/Managerial 23.50 out of 25
    Latent Promotional 5.00 out of 10
    Total Prospect Rating 85.00 out of 100
  8. Josh Taylor 25 @JoshTaylorBoxer Potential: World Champion. Probability: 44%. Estimated career earnings: £1.75 million. Current World Ranking: 101. Promoter: Cyclone Promotions. Google searches in the UK last month: 1,600.
    Talent 59.25 out of 65
    Promotional/Managerial 18.50 out of 25
    Latent Promotional 5.50 out of 10
    Total Prospect Rating 83.25 out of 100
  9. Charlie Flynn 22 @ChuckFlynn93 Potential: World Level. Probability: 75%. Estimated career earnings: £1.6 million. Commonwealth Games Gold Medalist at Lightweight in 2014. Current World Ranking: 367. Promoter: Matchroom. Google searches in the UK last month: 5,400.
    Talent 54.25 out of 65
    Promotional/Managerial 20.25 out of 25
    Latent Promotional 8.50 out of 10
    Total Prospect Rating 83 out of 100
  10. Lucien Reid 22 @LucienReid Potential: World Level. Probability: 60%. Estimated career earnings: £1.3 million. ABA Champion at Bantamweight in 2013. Current World Ranking: 256. Promoter: Matchroom. Google searches in the UK last month: 110.
  11. Jake Ball 23 @1jakeball Potential: Fringe World Level. Probability: 60%. Estimated career earnings: £1.2 million. Current World Ranking: 250. Promoter: Matchroom. Google searches in the UK last month: 1,900.
    Talent 52.50 out of 65
    Promotional/Managerial 22.00 out of 25
    Latent Promotional 6.25 out of 10
    Total Prospect Rating 80.75 out of 100
  12. Jack Flatley 21 @JackFlatley_ Potential: World Level. Probability: 45%. Estimated career earnings: £1.15 million. ABA Finalist at Middleweight in 2015. Current World Ranking: 552. Promoter: Writ. Google searches in the UK last month: 70.
  13. Ben Hall 22 @19BenHall Potential: Fringe World Level. Probability: 50%. Estimated career earnings: £1 million. Current World Ranking: 106. Google searches in the UK last month: 720.
  14. Conrad Cummings 24 @ChampCummings Potential: European Level. Probability: 70%. Estimated career earnings: £1 million. Current World Ranking: 114. Promoter: Cyclone Promotions. Google searches in the UK last month: 390.
  15. Tony Dixon 23 Estimated career earnings: £650,000. Potential: World Level. Probability: 45%. Current World Ranking: 143. Promoter: Sanigar Events. Google searches in the UK last month: 210.
  16. Josh Pritchard 21 @ThePunisherJP Potential: World Level. Probability: 55%. Estimated career earnings: £750,000. Current World Ranking: 279. Promoter: Cyclone Promotions. Google searches in the UK last month: 170.
  17. Isaac Chamberlain 22 @IChamberlain_ Potential: World Level. Probability: 55%. Estimated career earnings: £850,000. Current World Ranking: 225. Promoter: MatchroomGoogle searches in the UK last month: 480.
  18. Josh Leather 24 @joshleather91 Estimated career earnings: £650,000. ABA Champion at Lightweight in 2012. Potential: Fringe World Level. Probability: 40%. Current World Ranking: 227. Promoter: Writ. Google searches in the UK last month: 480.
  19. Sean Davis 26 Estimated career earnings: £425,000. Potential: Fringe World Level. Probability: 35%. Current World Ranking: 109. Google searches in the UK last month: 590.
  20. Lewis Ritson 22 @lewis_ritson Estimated career earnings: £525,000. Potential: Fringe World Level. Probability: 35%. Current World Ranking: 240. Promoter: Lock Stock Promotions. Google searches in the UK last month: <10.
  21. Kieran Smith 22 @KieranSmith15 Potential: European Level. Probability: 70%. Estimated career earnings: £450,000. Current World Ranking: 174. Promoter: Lock Stock Promotions in 3 of 4 bouts. Google searches in the UK last month: 320.
  22. Nick Webb 28 @itsanickting Potential: European Level. Probability: 65%. Estimated career earnings: £450,000. Current World Ranking: 146. Promoter: 4 different ones in first 6 fights (including next scheduled one). Google searches in the UK last month: 1,000.
  23. Yusuf Safa 22 @YusufSafa94 Potential: Fringe World Level. Probability: 55%. Estimated career earnings: £850,000. Current World Ranking: 369. Promoter: Hennessy Sports. Google searches in the UK last month: 1,300.
  24. Prince Patel 23 @PrincePatel1993 Potential: Fringe World Level. Probability: 35%. Estimated career earnings: £450,000. Current World Ranking: 219. Promoter: Writ. Google searches in the UK last month: 4,400.
  25. Cori Gibbs 22 @CoriGibbs93 Potential: World Level. Probability: 35%. Estimated career earnings: £450,000. Current World Ranking: 612. Google searches in the UK last month: 70.
  26. Tommy McCarthy 25 @Tommymac90 Potential: European Level. Probability: 45%. Estimated career earnings: £700,000. Current World Ranking: 86. Promoter: 8 different promoters in first 9 bouts. Google searches in the UK last month: 210.
  27. Young Fury 19 @youngkingfury Potential: European Level. Probability: 35%. Estimated career earnings: £850,000. Current World Ranking: 370. Google searches in the UK last month: 1,000.
  28. Joe Costello 22 Estimated career earnings: £550,000. Current World Ranking: 210. Promoter: Writ. Google searches in the UK last month: 260.
  29. Joe Fitzpatrick 21 @fitzpatrickjoe Potential: Fringe World Level. Probability: 45%. Estimated career earnings: £700,000. Current World Ranking: 320. Google searches in the UK last month: 260.
  30. Jordan Cooke 22 @JordanCooke1 Potential: European Level. Probability: 55%. Estimated career earnings: £400,000. Current World Ranking: 244. Google searches in the UK last month: 170.
  31. Anthony Yarde 24 @mranthonyyarde Estimated career earnings: £450,000. Current World Ranking: 153. Google searches in the UK last month: 1,300.
  32. Jack Massey 23 @jackmassey123 Estimated career earnings: £350,000. Current World Ranking: 98. Google searches in the UK last month: 170.
  33. Ryan Davies 22 @RPDBoxing Estimated career earnings: £350,000. Current World Ranking: 336.
  34. Georgie Kean 24 @1georgiekean Potential: Domestic Level. Probability: 80%. Estimated career earnings: £350,000. Current World Ranking: 292. Google searches in the UK last month: 260.
  35. Tom Farrell 26 @TomFarrell89 Estimated career earnings: £450,000. Current World Ranking: 247. Google searches in the UK last month: 480.
  36. Waleed Din 23 @Waleed_Din Potential: Fringe World Level. Probability: 60%. Estimated career earnings: £250,000. Current World Ranking: 147. Google searches in the UK last month: 480.
  37. Jose Lopes 25 @lopesboxing Estimated career earnings: £350,000. Current World Ranking: 174. Google searches in the UK last month: 90.
  38. Luke Watkins 26 @TheDukeWatkins Estimated career earnings: £250,000. Current World Ranking: 138. Google searches in the UK last month: 170.
  39. Joe Pigford 22 @joepigford Estimated career earnings: £350,000. Current World Ranking: 156. Google searches in the UK last month: 140.
  40. Jeff Saunders 24 @JeffSaundersPro. Potential: Fringe World Level. Probability: 60%. ABA Champion at Welterweight in 2013. Estimated career earnings: £650,000. Current World Ranking: 312. Promoter: Matchroom. Google searches in the UK last month: 170.
  41. Zelfa Barrett @zelfaflash 22 Estimated career earnings: £650,000. Current World Ranking: 312. Google searches in the UK last month: 320.
  42. James Thomson 26 Estimated career earnings: £350,000. Google searches in the UK last month: 480.
  43. Alex Hughes 22 Estimated career earnings: £450,000. Promoter: Writ. Google searches in the UK last month: 390.
  44. Sam Ball 20 Estimated career earnings: £350,000. Google searches in the UK last month: 110.
  45. Ryan Kelly 22 @Ryan_Kelly_Pro Estimated career earnings: £200,000. Google searches in the UK last month: 110.
  46. Dec Spelman 24 @dec_spelman Estimated career earnings: £150,000. Google searches in the UK last month: <10.
  47. Tyrone McKenna 26 @Tyronemck Estimated career earnings: £250,000. Google searches in the UK last month: 50.
  48. Simon Barclay 26 @sidbarcs. Potential: Fringe World Level. Probability: 60%. ABA Champion at Cruiserweight in 2010 & at Heavyweight in 2012. Estimated career earnings: £450,000. Promoter: Writ. Google searches in the UK last month: 1,000.
  49. Matty Fagan 27 @FaganMatthew Estimated career earnings: £350,000. Google searches in the UK last month: 90.
  50. Archie Sharp 21 @archiesharp95 Estimated career earnings: £350,000. Google searches in the UK last month: 260.